Packers-Seahawks TNF Gambling Pick

Sep 4, 2014; Seattle, WA, USA; Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (12) shakes hands with Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (3) following a 36-16 Seahawks victory at CenturyLink Field. Mandatory Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports ORG XMIT: USATSI-180012 ORIG FILE ID: 20140904_ajw_sn8_354.JPG

It’s always fun when there’s a solid game lined up on Thursday Night Football.

In previous years past, it’s been a bunch of duds that football junkies like myself have had to sit through and try to enjoy.

I’m not sure if it’s Joe Buck and FOX Sports or what, because this season’s weekday games have been pretty great for the most part.

Expect tonight be another close one.

Packers at Seahawks, in front of the always loud and boisterous 12th man.

The majority of sportsbooks have the Seahawks -3, and that seems about right.

From a historic perspective, Aaron Rodgers is pretty pathetic when playing in the Emerald City.

In the Pete Carroll/Russell Wilson era, Rodgers is 0-3 at CenturyLink. His worst performance coming in the 2014 AFC Championship with a QB rating of 55.8.

Although the Hawks have dropped their last two games, Russell Wilson and the Seattle offence have seemed to find some offensive rhythm ever since veteran wideout Doug Baldwin returned to the lineup.

The problem is, the Packers defence has really been stingy in preventing big passing games. Through nine games, Green Bay is only letting the opponent throw for an average of 225 yards per game.

And then there’s this stat that really jumps out in favour of Green Bay.

Seattle allows 5.0 rush yards a play, which ranks in the bottom-five amongst NFL defenses.

Packers RB Aaron Jones is coming off a breakout game in which he ran the ball 15 times last week for a whopping 145 yards.

Expect Aaron Rodgers to not exactly light up the stat-sheet, and for Mike McCarthy to pound the ball a ton with Jones tonight.

I like the Packers dominating the time of possession with the ground-game, and pulling away with the ‘W’.

The Pick: Green Bay Moneyline